Changes over time

This section compares estimates of the prevalence of overweight and obesity combined, obesity alone, severe obesity and abdominal obesity, and median BMI within the same birth cohorts as they age. The interactive graph below allows you to explore these different measures of overweight and obesity within the birth cohorts over time.

For each birth cohort, prevalence estimates and the median BMI in 1995, 2007–08 and 2017–18 are reported.

Figure 1: Prevalence of overweight and obesity over time, and median BMI, by birth cohort and age group; 1995, 2007–08 and 2017–18

These line charts show the prevalence of 4 measures of overweight and obesity: overweight and obesity combined, obesity alone, severe obesity and abdominal obesity, as well as the median BMI. The measures are shown for 9 birth cohorts, with data for each cohort shown at the midpoint of the cohort’s age group at up to 3 time points (1995, 2007–08 and 2017–18). For most birth cohorts, the prevalence of all measures of overweight and obesity generally increased with age over time, from 1995 to 2007–08, and 2007–08 to 2007–18. Median BMI also generally increased over time for most cohorts, except for the oldest cohort (those born in 1923–1932).

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Overweight and obesity

Between 1995 and 2007–08, the prevalence of overweight and obesity increased significantly for most birth cohorts, except for the 1923–1932 and 1933–1942 birth cohorts (Figure 1, tables S1, S2 and S3).

Between 2007–08 and 2017–18, the prevalence of overweight and obesity again increased significantly for almost all birth cohorts, except for the 1933–1942 birth cohort.

The largest absolute change in the prevalence of overweight and obesity over the 22 years was among the 1973–1982 birth cohort. The prevalence of overweight and obesity among people in the 1973–1982 birth cohort more than doubled from 24% when they were aged 13–22 (in 1995) to 54% when they were aged 25–34 (in 2007–08), then increased to 69% when they were aged 35–44 (in 2017–18).

Younger birth cohorts (those born more recently) tend to have a higher prevalence of overweight and obesity than older birth cohorts when compared at the same ages. See the Differences between birth cohorts page for further detail.

Obesity

Between 1995 and 2007–08, the prevalence of obesity increased significantly for almost all birth cohorts, except for the 1923–1932 birth cohort (Figure 1, tables S1, S2 and S3).

Between 2007–08 and 2017–18, the prevalence of obesity again increased significantly for all birth cohorts.

As with overweight and obesity, the largest absolute change in the prevalence of obesity over the 22 years was among the 1973–1982 birth cohort. The prevalence of obesity among people in the 1973–1982 birth cohort nearly tripled from 6.5% when they were aged 13–22 (in 1995) to 19% when they were aged 25–34 (in 2007–08), then increased to 31% when they were aged 35–44 (in 2017–18).

Severe obesity

In this report, severe obesity is defined as a BMI of 35 kg/m2 or more in adults. The analysis of severe obesity is limited to adults due to a lack of consensus on the definition for children and adolescents.

Between 1995 and 2007–08, the prevalence of severe obesity increased significantly for most birth cohorts. The exceptions were the 1923–1932 and 1933–1942 birth cohorts, where the increase was not statistically significant (Figure 1, tables S1, S2 and S3).

Between 2007–08 and 2017–18, the prevalence of severe obesity again increased significantly for all birth cohorts.

The largest absolute change in the prevalence of severe obesity over the 22 years was among the 1953–1962 birth cohort. The prevalence of severe obesity among people in the 1953–1962 birth cohort more than doubled from 4.4% when they were aged 33–42 (in 1995) to 8.8% when they were aged 45–54 (in 2007–08), then increased to 15% when they were aged 55–64 (in 2017–18).

Abdominal obesity

In this report, abdominal obesity is defined as a waist circumference of 102 cm or more in men and 88 cm or more in women (WHO 2000). The analysis of abdominal obesity is limited to adults due to a lack of consensus on the definition for children and adolescents.

Between 1995 and 2007–08, the prevalence of abdominal obesity increased significantly for all adult birth cohorts (Figure 1, tables S1, S2 and S3).

Between 2007–08 and 2017–18, the prevalence of abdominal obesity again increased significantly for all adult birth cohorts.

The largest absolute change in the prevalence of abdominal obesity over the 22 years was among the 1963–1972 birth cohort. The prevalence of abdominal obesity among people in the 1963–1972 birth cohort more than doubled from 13% when they were aged 23–32 (in 1995) to 34% when they were aged 35–44 (in 2007–08), then increased to 48% when they were aged 45–54 (in 2017–18).

Median BMI

Analysis of the median BMI (or 50th percentile) shows the changes over time in what is considered a typical BMI. This analysis is limited to adults due to the age- and sex-specific BMI cut-offs for measuring overweight and obesity in children and adolescents.

Between 1995 and 2007–08, the median BMI increased significantly for almost all birth cohorts, except for the 1923–1932 birth cohort, where a non-significant decrease was observed (Figure 1, Table S4).

Between 2007–08 and 2017–18, the median BMI again increased significantly for almost all birth cohorts, except for 1933–1942.

The largest absolute change in median BMI over the 22 years was among the 1963–1972 birth cohort. The median BMI among this birth cohort increased from 24.4 kg/m2 when they were aged 23–32 (in 1995), to 26.4 kg/m2 when they were aged 35–44 (in 2007–08), to 28.1 kg/m2 when they were aged 45–54 (in 2017–18), corresponding to an increase of 3.7 kg/m2 over the 22 years.

References

ABS (Australian Bureau of Statistics) 2009. Microdata: National Health Survey, Basic and Expanded CURF, 2007–08. ABS cat. no. 4324.0.55.001. Findings based on Expanded Confidentialised Unit Record File analysis. Canberra: ABS.

ABS 2013. Microdata: National Nutrition Survey, 1995. ABS cat. no. 4807.0.30.001. Findings based on Basic Confidentialised Unit Record File analysis. Canberra: ABS.

ABS 2019. Microdata: National Health Survey, 2017–18. ABS cat. no. 4324.0.55.001. Findings based on Detailed Microdata analysis. Canberra: ABS.

WHO (World Health Organization) 2000. Obesity: preventing and managing the global epidemic. Report of a WHO consultation. WHO Technical Report Series 894:i–xii, 1–253.